
Unrivaled
Why America Will Remain the World's Sole Superpower (Cornell Studies in Security Affairs)
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Narrado por:
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Chris Monteiro
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De:
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Michael Beckley
The United States has been the world's dominant power for more than a century. Now, many analysts believe that other countries are rising and the United States is in decline. Is the unipolar moment over? Is America finished as a superpower?
In this book, Michael Beckley argues that the United States has unique advantages over other nations that, if used wisely, will allow it to remain the world's sole superpower throughout this century. We are not living in a transitional, post-Cold War era. Instead, we are in the midst of what he calls the unipolar era - a period as singular and important as any epoch in modern history. This era, Beckley contends, will endure because the US has a much larger economic and military lead over its closest rival, China, than most people think and the best prospects of any nation to amass wealth and power in the decades ahead.
Deeply researched and brilliantly argued, this book covers hundreds of years of great power politics and develops new methods for measuring power and predicting the rise and fall of nations. By documenting long-term trends in the global balance of power and explaining their implications for world politics, the book provides guidance for policymakers, business people, and scholars alike.
The book is published by Cornell Univesity Press.
"Should be part of any serious debate about where we are headed." (The New York Times)
"Smart and sophisticated." (Foreign Affairs)
"It will quickly become a classic in international security studies." (Keir Lieber, Georgetown University)
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Great research and analysis - Solutions iffy
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Good listen
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Facts and Stats
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Spectacular insight
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The book was engaging enough that I wanted to binge read from start to finish, but informative enough that I forced myself to put it down between chapters to avoid having all the information going in one hear and out the other.
If I could summarize the book in one sentence, it would be: exposing flaws in geopolitical indicators that garner sensationalist headlines.
The book’s thesis is that throughout the rest of our lifetimes, and probably the rest of the century, the United States will continue to be the only superpower. No other nation will be able to singlehandedly cripple another nation with sanctions due to its consummate control of global finance and geopolitical clout, as well as project one-sided military power anywhere in the globe. And when measured in net wealth, the United States is getting richer, faster.
Consider GDP, which by some measures, the United States has been surpassed by China. GDP is a gross measure, not a net measure. GDP can increased by polluting a river and then spending money to clean it up, because goods and services are produced, but the cost and utility of them are not included in the measure.
Similarly, China had a larger army, but no experience winning major wars, a big navy but not enough fuel range to meaningfully defend it’s claim against rivals in the South China Sea, a proliferation of STEM universities but a deadweight of rampant cheating and 30% of time wasted studying Maoist thought.
The United States enjoys many subtle advantages that don’t grab headlines yet compound over time. It is the only major power that weak and friendly neighbors, it has more navigable waterways than the rest of the world combined which leads to an order of magnitude less shipping cost, it has two oceans that provide both protection from invaders and access to trade anywhere, it is agriculturally and energy independent (China is a net importer of both), and its relatively permissive immigration policy puts a continual brain drain on rivals.
The book’s effect on the reader is akin to discovering for the first time that not everyone who owns a BMW is actually well off financially. There is a massive underlying difference between an overstretched lease and comfortably affording. The book illuminates the geopolitical analogy of this.
The author clearly has a very detailed knowledge of what he is talking about (quick, which past naval conflicts were determined by the use of sea mines?), but one never gets the sense he is showing off. The book is packed with information, but the author doesn’t bombard the reader.
Readers may or may not agree with his policy suggestions in the final chapter, but they are not essential to his work whose primarily aim is to inform, or at least disentangle incomplete information, rather than persuade.
There is an aphorism in finance that “one should invest in companies that are so wonderful and idiot can run them because sooner or later one will.” After some wry reflection, one can see how applicable that is to forecasting the future of superpowers as well.
Easy to listen to and usefully informative
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Apart from the mispronunciations, the analysis was a refreshing counterpoint to conventional geopolitical reasoning. I recommend listening to this book.
Great insights, but annoying mispronunciations
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In an elite class of geopolitical write
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Great Statistical Information!
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Essential for understanding true likelihood of war
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Outstanding research and analysis, but solutions are totally unrealistic
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