Episodios

  • Introducing Kamala: Next in Line

    Introducing Kamala: Next in Line
    Oct 5 2020

    As a bonus for Chuck ToddCast listeners, we’re sharing a special preview of Kamala: Next in Line, a six-part podcast from MSNBC and Wondery that goes inside the cross-cultural journey that led Senator Kamala Harris from her humble roots to become the first African-American woman to be the Vice Presidential nominee for a major party. From Oakland to Howard University, and California to Washington DC, experience her story as it has never been told before. Hosted by MSNBC's Joy Reid, the show features exclusive interviews with those who know her best, painting a picture of a woman who has fought her way to the top at every turn. Listen to the first episode, and subscribe to the series now: https://link.chtbl.com/description-kamala
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    6 m
  • Wondery presents Bunga Bunga

    Wondery presents Bunga Bunga
    Sep 8 2020

    Silvio Berlusconi was a charismatic multi-millionaire real-estate mogul who upended the Italian political order and hypnotized an entire nation. He was the longest-serving prime minister of one of the world’s wealthiest countries, until he was brought down by three powerful women - and two words: “Bunga Bunga.” From Wondery, the makers of Dirty John and The Shrink Next Door, and hosted by comedian Whitney Cummings, “Bunga Bunga” is an eight part series on the incredible true story of the rise and fall of Silvio Berlusconi, told with Whitney’s signature wit and style. 

    Subscribe today: Wondery.fm/BungaBunga_NBCTC
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    6 m
  • Will Democrats WIPE OUT Trump & Republicans In 2026 Midterms? + RFK Jr. Is Devastating Public Health

    Will Democrats WIPE OUT Trump & Republicans In 2026 Midterms? + RFK Jr. Is Devastating Public Health
    Jul 10 2025
    Chuck Todd begins by highlighting potential Trump cabinet members that are likely to be resigned or fired in the near future. He rails against the damage RFK Jr. is inflicting on public heath, but predicts Pete Hegseth or Pam Bondi will exit first for making Trump “look bad”. He also recounts recent polling show Democratic voters want drastic action from their lawmakers and points out the 2028 presidential hopefuls that have made stops in early primary states.Then, Chuck is joined by Nathan Gonzalez, editor and publisher of “Inside Elections”, to analyze the evolving political landscape ahead of the 2026 midterms. They dive into potential Senate retirements, the challenges facing Trump nominees like Pete Hegseth and RFK Jr., and how issues like tariffs and aggressive deportations could impact Republican prospects. The conversation explores whether we'll see more competitive Democratic primaries as the party searches for a new identity, and examines key races from New York and New Jersey that could foreshadow national trends.The discussion also covers some fascinating political developments, including the IRS decision to allow churches to endorse candidates and what that means for the intersection of politics and religion. Gonzalez and Todd speculate about Elon Musk's potential influence on third-party movements, analyze gubernatorial races in states like Ohio and Michigan, and consider how "Biden baggage" might affect Democratic candidates. They wrap up with some college sports talk, debating conference realignment, misleading conference names and the upcoming Pac-12 season.Finally, he answers listeners’ questions in the “Ask Chuck” segment about Pakistan, RFK Jr. and a potential rebranding opportunity for Democratic Socialists.Timeline: (Timestamps may vary based on advertisements)00:00 Introduction01:00 Which Trump cabinet secretary will be next to leave?02:30 Record measles outbreak under RFK Jr.03:45 RFK Jr could hurt Republican candidates in midterms05:00 Measles outbreak should be a bigger story06:30 RFK Jr lied to Senator Bill Cassidy08:30 Kennedy is doing tremendous damage to public health09:45 Hegseth and Bondi are doing most damage to Trump politically11:00 Outsiders get eaten alive at the Pentagon12:15 Joni Ernst is the most likely Hegseth replacement13:00 MAGA media has turned on Pam Bondi over Epstein15:00 Howard Lutnick’s media appearances have stopped15:45 Scott Bessent could get the fed chair job17:00 Will the Senate pick a fight with Trump over fed chair?18:30 Bondi most likely to go in the short term19:30 Democratic voters want drastic action from their representatives21:30 Trump’s re-election is creating a reactionary revolution on the left24:00 The Big Beautiful Bill could be a huge political loser for MAGA26:30 Democrats will distance themselves from Biden28:30 New poll mapping voter preferences was revealing30:15 The “invisible primary” for 2028 presidential election31:15 2028 Democratic hopefuls are visiting early primary states33:15 Ruben Gallego is getting lots of buzz 35:30 IRS won’t revoke churches’ tax-exempt status for practicing politics37:00 Nathan Gonzalez joins the Chuck ToddCast! 39:00 Anticipating any senate retirements prior to 2026? 41:00 Joni Ernst most likely to replace Hegseth if he's fired? 42:30 Hegseth and RFK Jr are causing problems for Trump 44:00 What Kennedy is doing at HHS will be a big midterm issue 46:30 The tariff bomb will hit hard, but hasn't hit yet 49:30 Did Biden's team set up the bad debate on purpose? 51:45 Will NY and NJ elections foreshadow the midterms? 53:45 How Mikie Sherrill handles Zohran Mamdani will be telling 56:00 Will we see more competitive Democratic primaries? 57:30 Democrats are wrestling with finding a new identity 58:15 IRS will allow candidate endorsements by churches 1:00:00 Could other entities claim to be churches for political purposes? 1:01:45 Politics and religion have always mixed, will be more overt now 1:03:15 The IRS decision will be bad for churches 1:05:45 How heavy will "Biden baggage" be in 2026? 1:08:00 Will Biden ties sink Pete Buttigieg? 1:09:30 Is a Ramaswamy victory a done deal in Ohio? 1:10:30 Where should Musk target his money to boost third parties? 1:13:45 Musk should support both the Libertarian and Forward parties 1:16:15 Musk hasn't indicated what he's FOR 1:17:30 Alaska and Maine could be ripe for third party success 1:19:30 Dan Osborne's viability in Nebraska? 1:21:30 Rural states could be in play due to tariff turmoil 1:22:30 Dynamics of Michigan Democratic governor primary 1:25:30 Are Mike Duggan's Biden ties a liability? 1:26:30 What under the radar issues could bubble up in 2026? 1:27:45 Aggressive deportations will hurt Republicans 1:29:15 Republican voters care about immigration nationally, not locally 1:30:45 Bigger sin for college conferences: misleading name or geography? 1:33:00 What to expect in the Pac-12 this season? 1:36:45 ...
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    1 h y 56 m
  • Will America SURVIVE Donald Trump’s Presidency?

    Will America SURVIVE Donald Trump’s Presidency?
    Jul 9 2025
    Chuck Todd begins with Donald Trump receiving criticism and backlash from his own base after essentially declaring “case closed” on the Epstein files and why it’s a “reap what you sow” situation after several members of the administration stoked Epstein conspiracies for years. He also provides Elon Musk with a roadmap for his “America Party” and highlights states where third party candidates would be viable as trust erodes in the two major parties.Then, veteran Boston media personalities Jim Braude and Margery Eagan join Chuck for a wide-ranging discussion about the crisis facing American journalism and democracy. The conversation explores how journalists are compromising their ethics out of personal preservation, the devastating impact of local journalism's decline on political accountability, and the broader media landscape shaped by figures like Roger Ailes since Watergate. Braude and Eagan reflect on how toxic politics has driven good people away from public service, with harassment and threats becoming commonplace for public figures, while an increasingly uninformed public receives information through polarized channels like Fox News and social media.The discussion turns to specific political dynamics, from the deteriorating Kennedy brand in Massachusetts—with RFK Jr. damaging the family legacy while Ted Kennedy's effectiveness as a politician is remembered—to broader questions about whether America can survive and recover from the Trump era. The hosts examine why Americans have become numb to Trump's inflammatory rhetoric, debate whether Democrats should break rules in defiance of Trump (citing the gun violence sit-in as an example of constructive rule-breaking), and discuss the messaging challenges facing the Democratic Party. They also explore how cultural issues rather than economics serve as the glue for both parties, why democratic socialist policies are popular but the socialist label is toxic, and whether politicians from Massachusetts can win nationally, before concluding with reflections on local Boston politics and the ultimate question of whether America can extract itself from its current political mess.Finally, Chuck answers listeners’ questions in the “Ask Chuck” segment regarding a cultural swap between the left and the right, whether we’re living through the fall of the American empire and what it would take to break Trump’s spell over MAGA.Timeline:(Timestamps may vary based on advertisements)00:00 Introduction02:15 The right wing Epstein conspiracy theorists are turning on Trump 03:30 The CIA withheld info on Lee Harvey Oswald for 60 years05:30 Right wing media created atmosphere of distrust06:15 The conspiracy theorists are now in power07:15 The Trump administration won’t be believed by their followers08:00 The administration is behaving like they have something to hide*09:45 Misinformation has polluted the discourse11:30 Trump acolytes lied about Epstein at some point13:15 When you stoke conspiracies, you aren’t believable when in power15:00 The government has earned its distrust16:30 In a functional administration, Patel, Bondi and Bongino would be fired*17:30 The two party system is on brink of collapse, and that’s a good thing19:30 Musk isn’t wrong to want to break the two party system21:15 The country would be better served by a four party system23:00 There is a path for Elon to succeed due to his money23:45 Texas and Florida are the two best states for a third party to succeed25:15 Several other states are viable for third party senate candidates29:30 The midterm electorate will be volatile30:30 Jim Braude and Margery Eagan join the Chuck ToddCast! 32:30 The state of journalism and public radio 34:00 Journalists compromising ethics out of personal preservation 36:00 The death of print journalism 38:00 The impact of local journalism on political accountability 39:30 John's background in politics led him to radio/journalism 40:45 Media is harsher on activists than politicians 42:00 John's experience in city council made him a better journalist 43:15 Harassment/threats to public figures 44:45 Politics is so toxic that good people don't run 47:15 Toxic politics/liberal media discourse goes back to Roger Ailes & Watergate 48:45 How do educated elected Republicans sleep at night? 49:30 The country is woefully uninformed 50:45 Fox News & social media have been incredibly effective for the right 52:15 What's the state of the Kennedy brand in Massachusetts? 54:30 Ted Kennedy was one of the most effective politicians ever 56:30 RFK Jr. is doing tremendous damage to the family name 57:30 Americans have become numb to Trump's outrages 59:00 Will America survive and recover from the Trump era? 1:00:45 The administration is reaping what they've sown with Epstein 1:03:00 Trump gets away with "I hate Democrats" comments 1:04:00 Should Dems break rules in defiance of Trump? 1:06:00 Democrats sit-in over guns was an example of good...
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    1 h y 49 m
  • Playing POLITICS With Texas Disaster + Elon Launches America Party + Will Feminism SURVIVE In The Trump Era?

    Playing POLITICS With Texas Disaster + Elon Launches America Party + Will Feminism SURVIVE In The Trump Era?
    Jul 7 2025
    Chuck Todd begins with the flooding disaster in Texas and why America’s toxic political landscape makes preparing for extreme weather events unlikely, if not impossible. He also reacts to Elon Musk launching the “America Party” and expresses doubts about Musk’s motives, while applauding the idea of launching a viable third party. Finally, he blasts Florida governor Ron DeSantis for vetoing funding for a veterans program over a personal gripe with another Florida lawmaker.Then, directors Cecilia Aldarondo, Salima Koroma, and Alice Gu join Chuck to discuss their HBO documentary "Dear Ms.: A Revolution In Print," which chronicles the groundbreaking feminist magazine that launched in 1972. The filmmakers share the origins of their collaboration and the challenges of distilling Ms. magazine's complex 50-year legacy into a cohesive narrative, using iconic covers as launching points for exploring three main themes. They discuss how Ms. magazine differentiated itself from traditional women's publications focused on homemaking, instead tackling controversial subjects like pornography, workplace harassment, and the objectification of women—topics that generated significant male backlash and revealed the deep cultural resistance to feminist ideas.The conversation explores how the documentary's themes resonate in today's political climate, examining whether the Trump era represents a step backward for women's rights or simply exposed hidden truths about persistent inequality. The directors reflect on the evolution of feminist discourse, from the magazine's early battles against normalized harassment to contemporary debates about pornography, violence, and the #MeToo movement. They also consider Gloria Steinem's enduring legacy and discuss how early feminists faced far greater challenges than modern advocates, while acknowledging ongoing struggles around pay gaps in sports and the need for systemic rather than merely optical changes. The filmmakers conclude by reflecting on what didn't make the final cut and speculating about what a future installment might explore, including the recent rise of women's sports as a potential focal point.Finally, he answers listeners’ questions in the “Ask Chuck” segment about a potential second civil war, what life in an authoritarian state actually looks like, and why the American media has completely neglected the conflict between Rwanda and Congo.To help support the Santa Rose Veterans Treatment Court, visit santarosavtc.comTimeline:(Timestamps may vary based on advertisements)00:00 Introduction03:00 Politics is making tragedies like Texas even worse04:30 No evidence that budget cuts played a role in the tragedy05:30 We’re not prepared for the extreme weather that’s coming06:30 Voters don’t reward “preventative” policy09:00 The insurance industry is sounding the alarm on climate10:30 The climate/disaster debate will only grow12:30 It’s not “too soon for politics”, we need to be better prepared13:45 Elon Musk launches the “America Party”15:15 Musk wants to own, not share a movement17:00 We need TWO new parties20:00 Only a few defections to third parties would force change21:30 There’s massive interest in a third party23:30 Trump says he “hates” Democrats25:30 Ron DeSantis vetoes veterans treatment over personal dispute27:45 Lawmaker blew the whistle on the DeSantis charity30:00 Line-item vetoes are fraught for political corruption32:00 Petty politics is being used to harm veterans34:30 Cecilia Aldarondo, Salima Koroma & Alice Gu join the Chuck Toddcast! 35:00 What was the origin of "Dear Ms.: A Revolution In Print"? 37:00 The biggest challenge making Dear Ms. 39:45 HBO wanted iconic covers as the launching point for storytelling 41:00 The three main themes of the documentary? 42:00 Pornography was the most difficult issue for the magazine to cover 44:30 1972 was an iconic year for women 46:45 It was hard to have a black woman on the cover of a magazine 48:30 Most women's magazines were about homemaking 51:30 Ms. highlighted the objectification of women 53:00 Culture has evolved significantly since the release of Animal House 54:00 Harassment used to be commonplace and accepted 56:15 Technology has supercharged pornography into the mainstream 57:30 The backlash against feminism rose with the evangelical movement 59:00 There's still plenty of sexual taboos, but also more sexual content 1:00:30 The effort to draw a distinction between violence and pornography 1:02:30 Anti-porn sentiment puts women in danger 1:03:45 Would the documentary be different if we weren't in the Trump era? 1:06:45 The false sense that America had achieved equal rights 1:08:00 The feminist focus on women's rights over other rights 1:09:00 Is the Trump era a step back? Or has it revealed the hidden truth? 1:12:00 "Me too" should have been "Them Too" 1:14:00 Gloria Steinham's legacy 1:16:45 Early feminists faced far greater challenges than modern ...
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    1 h y 50 m
  • Shame On Paramount + Is Trump Selling Out Ukraine? + Can Democrats TAKE BACK Florida From Republicans?

    Shame On Paramount + Is Trump Selling Out Ukraine? + Can Democrats TAKE BACK Florida From Republicans?
    Jul 3 2025
    Chuck Todd begins by reacting to Paramount agreeing to settle Trump’s bogus 60 Minutes lawsuit and explains why it’s demoralizing for journalists and delegitimizing for corporate owned media. He also dives into the news that Trump has cut off weapons shipments to Ukraine despite a large majority of Americans supporting Ukraine and why it makes strategic sense to do so.Then, Chuck is joined by Florida gubernatorial candidate David Jolly for an in-depth conversation about Florida's evolving political landscape and his own remarkable transformation from GOP loyalist to Democratic candidate. Jolly shares his Florida origin story and analyzes how the state's politics have shifted, exploring whether Miami's political evolution offers hope for broader American reconciliation. The discussion delves into immigration dynamics, examining why some immigrant communities have gravitated toward Republicans and the potential backlash from deportation policies, while also addressing whether Democratic socialism remains politically toxic in South Florida.Jolly recounts his political evolution, emphasizing that while his policy positions have changed, his core values remain constant. He reflects on pivotal moments including the Pulse nightclub shooting that served as a reckoning for his views on gun ownership, his departure from the NRA after rejecting their "quid pro quo" offer for an A rating, and his decision to run as a Democrat rather than an Independent. Throughout, Jolly offers candid insights into Florida's systemic challenges—from the unaffordable "Florida dream" and housing crisis exacerbated by hurricane risks, to 27 years of Republican trifecta rule that he argues has led to corruption, gutted public schools through voucher programs, and political interference with state universities. The discussion also touches on everything from NIL regulations in college sports to public financing for professional stadiums, painting a comprehensive picture of Florida's political and social complexities.Finally, in homage to Independence Day, Chuck examines the state of “independents” and third-parties and explains why the appetite for candidates outside the two party system is higher than ever.Timeline:(Timestamps may vary based on advertisements)00:00 Introduction 01:45 Paramount agrees to pay off Trump’s CBS lawsuit to secure merger03:00 The pay off stains all corporate media and news04:15 It is a gut punch for practicing journalists06:00 Corporate owned media are losing their legitimacy08:15 There’s no good explanation for capitulation10:30 For media to have credibility, they have to be ethical11:30 Trump cuts off military aid to Ukraine13:00 A majority of the American public supports Ukraine15:45 Supporting Ukraine makes strategic sense for the U.S.17:30 The Russians helped Trump in 20016, even if there wasn’t collusion19:00 American news doesn’t prioritize covering the war20:30 David Jolly joins the Chuck ToddCast! 21:15 David's Florida origin story 23:00 The current state of Florida's politics 24:45 The "Florida dream" is becoming out of reach 27:30 Is Miami's political evolution a sign of hope for the rest of America? 28:45 Backlash to deportations from Florida's immigrant communities? 29:45 What caused immigrants to gravitate towards Republicans? 31:15 Cruelty and broken promises are the two themes of deportations 32:30 Is Democratic socialism politically toxic in south Florida? 34:15 Balancing housing affordability with hurricane safety 36:30 Private insurers can't keep up with risk 37:45 Remove hurricane damage from private insurance policies 38:45 David's political evolution from Republican to Democrat 42:15 His policy positions have changed, his values have not 43:30 What do responsible gun ownership laws look like? 44:15 Differences between a Bush 41 and Bush 43 Republican? 45:15 The NRA's "quid pro quo" offer for A rating 46:30 Pulse nightclub shooting was a reckoning for him 48:30 Running as a Democrats vs an Independent 53:00 Too many Floridians are living paycheck to paycheck 54:15 Republicans have had a trifecta in Florida for 27 years 55:15 Corruption in Florida politics 57:15 Florida's public school system has been gutted due to voucher program 59:15 Vouchers have just subsidized the private schools 1:01:00 There's no vetting process for charter/private schools 1:03:30 Republican meddling with Florida's universities 1:05:45 De-politicizing government job appointments 1:08:45 Should the state play a role in regulating NIL in college sports? 1:11:45 Public financing for professional sport stadiums? 1:13:15 Would the Rays be more successful in Tampa or Orlando? 1:14:30 Favorite governors you'd lean on if elected?1:16:00 What's happening in third party and independent politics 1:17:00 Ballot access is a huge deterrent for third party candidates 1:18:45 Update on independent candidates around the country 1:21:00 Huge appetite for independent & third party ...
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    1 h y 36 m
  • Senate Passes “Big Beautiful Bill” + Ian Bremmer On Fallout Of Trump’s Iran Strike & Why Russia Is Winning

    Senate Passes “Big Beautiful Bill” + Ian Bremmer On Fallout Of Trump’s Iran Strike & Why Russia Is Winning
    Jul 2 2025
    Chuck Todd begins by reacting to the senate passing Trump’s signature piece of legislation: “The Big Beautiful Bill.” He reviews the excuses and rationales given by the senators who had expressed issues with the bill but still voted for it, and explains why the fear of Donald Trump’s wrath is enough to get lawmakers to fall in line and explains why the bill’s passage is emblematic of the broken state of Congress.Then, Chuck is joined by political scientist and Eurasia Group president Ian Bremmer to dissect the most pressing geopolitical challenges facing the world today. The discussion begins with analysis of recent Iranian strikes and the Middle East conflict, exploring whether Iran has been exposed as a "paper tiger" and examining the complex dynamics between Trump, Netanyahu, and regional powers like Saudi Arabia. Bremmer offers insights into Iran's domestic vulnerabilities—noting the regime's mere 20% public support—while assessing the likelihood of nuclear developments and potential exit strategies from current conflicts.The conversation expands to cover Trump's relationship with NATO allies, the slowly deteriorating situation in Ukraine, and Putin's potential next moves, including the concerning possibility of nuclear escalation if his regime faces existential threats. Bremmer and Todd also tackle the rise of populist movements globally, the erosion of democratic guardrails in America, and the fundamental shift toward reactionary politics that may define a generation. Throughout, Bremmer provides his characteristic blend of realpolitik analysis and concern for democratic institutions, culminating in a sobering assessment of how America's political system now rewards winners over leaders and creates conditions where "socialists can't beat capitalists, but they can beat kleptocrats."Finally, he answers listeners’ questions in the “Ask Chuck” segment regarding the potential for erosion of Trump’s support, election denialism and a fun alternate history theory where legendary Bears coach Mike Ditka beat Barack Obama for state office in Illinois.Timeline:(Timestamps may vary based on advertisements)00:00 Introduction00:15 90 days from Liberation Day and “90 deals in 90 days”, there are two deals01:30 Trump will back off on tariffs again to avoid economic damage02:30 The Big Beautiful Bill passes the Senate04:15 Josh Hawley votes for bill despite promises not to cut health care06:00 Lisa Murkowski cites tax break expiration for her yes vote08:15 Murkowski has always been Alaska first over America first09:30 Republicans fall in line out of fear of Trump11:00 Congress is broken 13:00 Bipartisanship is dead in the 21st century14:30 Both parties have weaponized partisanship16:15 How do we fix the broken congress?17:30 The public needs to understand WHY congress is broken19:00 Independents could force congress to function better21:00 Bill was rushed due to Trump’s impatience22:30 We’re in the kleptocracy stage, headed toward authoritarianism24:00 Dysfunction in congress has created a more powerful presidency26:00 Ian Bremmer joins the Chuck ToddCast! 28:00 Media cycle has already moved on from the Iran strike 29:15 The strike wasn't meant to be a war 30:15 Steve Bannon's theory that we're on the brink of WW3 31:45 Trump wanted a negotiated settlement with Iran 33:00 Netanyahu was always going to force the US's hand 34:30 Trump is capable of telling Bibi "no" 36:15 Would Trump support a two state solution? 38:30 Iran has no friends on the global stage willing to support them 40:15 After investigators access Gaza, Israel will lose support 41:45 Saudis will demand a two state solution 43:15 Did we expose Iran as a "paper tiger"? 45:30 The Iranian regime only has 20% support from the public 46:30 Iran's strong enough to put down an uprising 47:30 The U.S. won't put boots on the ground in Iran 49:00 What is Iran's exit strategy from this conflict? 52:00 Iran is likely 3 years away from a bomb 53:15 Iran may be a theocracy, but doesn't act irrationally 54:45 The state of Iraq's leadership? 56:15 Is there global investment in Iraq? 57:15 Status of Trump + NATO? 59:30 Europe underinvested in defense for decades 1:01:15 Pushing Europe to spend more on defense is one of Trump's best achievements 1:02:00 Status of Russia/Ukraine war? 1:03:00 Ukraine is losing slowly 1:04:15 Chances Putin would attack one of the Baltic states? 1:06:15 Putin could use a nuke if he felt his regime was at risk 1:08:15 The rise of left wing populism 1:10:00 American elections will be free and fair, but public won't think so 1:12:00 Guardrails on the executive branch have been weakened 1:13:15 Are we stuck with reactionary politics for a generation? 1:14:45 Trump didn't attend funeral for assassinated Minnesota lawmakers 1:15:45 The U.S. doesn't create leaders, it creates winners 1:18:30 The lack of bipartisanship creates bad legislation 1:19:45 The Big Beautiful Bill will ...
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    1 h y 43 m
  • Can Democrats Flip The Senate In 2026? + The SHOCKING Voter Data That Explains Trump's 2024 Victory

    Can Democrats Flip The Senate In 2026? + The SHOCKING Voter Data That Explains Trump's 2024 Victory
    Jun 30 2025
    Chuck Todd reacts to the news that North Carolina senator Thom Tillis won’t seek reelection, why harassment from the Trump team led to his decision, and why his decision gives Democrats another opportunity to pick up a senate seat in the 2026 midterm elections. He also highlights the path for Democrats to win the senate in 26’ and cautions Republicans about the potential of a Democratic president abusing their power in a similar way to Trump.Then, Chuck sits down with renowned pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson to dissect the seismic shifts in American politics following the 2024 election. They dive deep into the surprising demographic realignments that defined Trump's victory, including his unprecedented gains with young and Latino voters, while exploring whether traditional demographic-based political messaging has become obsolete. Anderson shares insights from Pew Research's unique voter validation methodology and explains why the biggest story of 2024 wasn't who showed up to vote, but rather the millions of Biden 2020 supporters who stayed home.The conversation spans from foreign policy contradictions—where only 8% support attacking Iran but majorities back preventing Iranian nuclear weapons—to the evolving nature of political coalitions and whether we're witnessing a return to pre-Obama era electoral patterns. Anderson and Todd examine the psychological profile of different generations, particularly Gen Z's political malleability and loss of societal trust shaped by COVID, while discussing the future challenges facing pollsters as AI technology threatens traditional survey methodology. They conclude by analyzing whether 2024 represented a "vote for" or "vote against" election, and how both parties must adapt to meet an increasingly anti-establishment electorate.Finally, Chuck answers listeners’ questions in the “Ask Chuck” segment about baseball, the media, and the prospects of Republican congressman Mike Lawler running for governor in New York.Timeline:(Timestamps may vary based on advertisements)00:00 Introduction01:00 Senator Thom Tillis won’t seek reelection02:00 Tillis struggled to fully embrace Trumpism/MAGA03:00 Tillis felt harassed by the Trump team05:30 Rep. Don Bacon also not seeking reelection08:00 Tillis retirement makes Roy Cooper senate run more likely09:15 Lara Trump may run for Tillis’s seat11:00 Trump has caused multiple senate seats to flip blue12:15 How Democrats can pick up the seats to flip the senate13:15 North Carolina, Texas, Maine could all be in play for Democrats15:30 Susan Collin managed to make both sides mad17:00 Louisiana probably out of reach for Democrats18:30 Other states Democrats can target22:00 Budget cuts to rural states could create openings for Democrats24:15 It’s an uphill battle for Democrats, but they’re in the game28:00 It’s been a tumultuous week in politics28:30 Trump has pushed the limits of his powers29:30 Trump has created a blueprint for successors to follow31:00 We’ve grown numb to power being used for personal gain32:00 Politics was becoming less corrupt until Trump34:00 After Nixon, the country wanted a high character president35:15 The constitutional guardrails are being weakened37:00 Is the ability to get attention the most important skill in politics?37:45 Kristen Soltis Anderson joins the Chuck ToddCast! 39:15 How Pew Research's voter validation poll works 41:15 Why Pew's poll is the best survey of both voters and non-voters 42:30 Voters have an Iraq hangover when viewing the Iran strikes 43:30 Public opinion on foreign policy is complicated and contradictory 44:15 Only 8% of the public supports attacking Iran 45:00 The public supports intervention to prevent Iran nuclear weapon 46:45 Are Republican voters party first, or Trump supporters? 48:30 Polling on Iran hinges on what we actually achieved with strikes 50:00 Huge jump in Hispanic support for Trump in 2024 52:15 Trump gained most with young and latino voters 53:45 Has the electorate reverted to the pre-Obama era? 55:30 Are demographics overrated in messaging? 57:15 Urban/rural divide shrank in 2024 1:00:15 Biggest story of 24' was Biden 20' voters that didn't show up1:02:15 The parties need to meet voters where they are 1:03:15 Takeaways from Mamdani's victory in NYC? 1:04:30 Bullish on media savvy populists 1:06:15 AOC is a 5 star political athlete 1:08:45 Was 2024 a "vote for" or "vote against" election? 1:10:15 Voters continue to vote against the status quo 1:11:30 Where is the electorate stable/unstable? 1:14:00 Has Trump changed the perception of what government should do? 1:16:00 Republicans want state intervention in "woke" business over illegality 1:17:15 What is the best methodology for conducting polls? 1:20:30 Best way to contact people for polls? 1:22:30 Generative AI will cause major problems for pollsters 1:25:15 Can averaging polls be helpful? 1:27:45 Averaging national polls vs. state polls 1:29:15 Impact of ...
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    1 h y 55 m