
"Tracking Tropical Storm Tammy and Potential Atlantic Disturbances as Hurricane Season Continues"
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Meanwhile, closer to the southeastern U.S. coast, a broad area of low pressure continues to organize several hundred miles off the coast of the Carolinas. The NHC gives this disturbance a medium chance, approximately 40 percent, of developing into a tropical or subtropical cyclone within the next seven days. Satellite imagery and surface observations indicate minimal organization as of now, but conditions are expected to become more conducive for gradual development by the weekend. Regardless of whether it becomes a named storm, forecasters warn of the potential for increased surf, rip currents, and minor coastal flooding along portions of the mid-Atlantic and southeastern U.S. coastline beginning late Friday into early next week.
In the eastern Pacific, Hurricane Norma has weakened to a tropical depression and is no longer considered a significant threat. However, the system’s remnants continue to bring locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds to parts of western Mexico. Emergency services in the region remain on alert due to lingering flood risks in low-lying areas. Elsewhere across the tropics, no major systems are expected to develop over the next five days, though seasonal weather patterns continue to support above-average tropical activity chances through the end of October.
Looking ahead, the National Hurricane Center is closely monitoring the next tropical wave emerging off the coast of West Africa, which may be the last major wave of the season capable of significant development. Long-range models suggest this system could organize as it moves westward across the Atlantic next week, potentially posing future risks to the Caribbean, though confidence remains low at this early stage. Coastal communities are advised to stay informed and keep preparedness plans up to date as the peak of hurricane season gradually winds down.
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