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Tropical Disturbance Brewing in Caribbean, Potential Gulf Threat Emerges

Tropical Disturbance Brewing in Caribbean, Potential Gulf Threat Emerges

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 In the past 24 hours, the National Hurricane Center and NOAA have issued multiple updates highlighting the development and progress of tropical weather systems in both the Atlantic and eastern Pacific basins. The most notable current activity centers around a developing disturbance in the western Caribbean Sea, designated as Invest 91L. According to NOAA, this system is showing signs of organization and is projected to move northwestward over the next several days toward the Gulf of Mexico. The Caribbean disturbance is presently producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms but is forecast to move into more favorable conditions for further development. The National Hurricane Center gives the system a 60 percent chance of forming into a tropical depression within the next 48 hours. If it does intensify, coastal regions along the southeastern Gulf, including parts of Florida’s west coast, may need to prepare for potential tropical storm conditions by late in the week.

Elsewhere in the Atlantic, Hurricane Lee, once a Category 3 storm, has weakened considerably as it tracks northeastward over colder waters near the Canadian Maritimes. As of the latest update from NOAA, Lee has transitioned into a post-tropical cyclone and is producing heavy rain and gusty winds across portions of Newfoundland and Nova Scotia. Coastal flood warnings and gale warnings remain in effect for parts of eastern Canada, though the system is expected to dissipate over the North Atlantic by midweek. No immediate threats from Lee remain for the United States coastline.

Meanwhile, in the eastern Pacific, a newly formed system known as Tropical Storm Miriam continues to move slowly westward. The National Hurricane Center reports that Miriam carries sustained winds of approximately 50 miles per hour but poses no imminent threat to land. Forecast models suggest the storm is likely to weaken over the open ocean, with minimal impacts anticipated for any coastal regions.

Weather.com and AccuWeather both noted a broader trend of increased Atlantic storm activity, consistent with the peak of hurricane season. With ocean temperatures remaining above average in the tropical Atlantic, forecasters are watching several additional tropical waves emerging from the coast of Africa. These have not yet formed into organized systems, but they represent potential development areas in the coming days.

Looking Ahead, forecasters will continue to monitor Invest 91L closely as it enters the Gulf, where warm waters and less wind shear may promote intensification. Coastal residents along the Gulf Coast, particularly in Florida and Alabama, are advised to stay informed through official channels as the situation evolves.
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