Business Forecasting

How can we think about the future? What do we need to do - and who do we need to be? We are addicted to prediction, desperate for certainty about the future. But the complexity of modern life won’t provide that; experts in forecasting are reluctant to look more than 400 days out. History doesn’t repeat itself and even genetics won’t tell you everything you want to know. Ineradicable uncertainty is now a fact of life.

Ter acesso à informação nunca foi tão fácil. Apesar disso, enfrenta-se no dia a dia o desafio de saber o que é relevante em meio a um volume cada vez maior de dados. Entre as diferentes notícias, opiniões e pesquisas que chegam ao conhecimento da população, como identificar o que é útil no momento de traçar um plano, de se preparar para determinado acontecimento, de acertar uma previsão? Para o economista Nate Silver, garantir a qualidade da informação é o primeiro passo.

In Crude Forecasts: Predictions, Pundits, and Profits in the Commodity Casino, Peter Sainsbury, economist, commodity investor and blogger at Materials Risk, shows how you can take back control.

Ungewissheit und Unsicherheit regieren die Welt. Vieles ist nicht mehr planbar. Christian Busch hat als Forscher an der London School of Economics (LSE) und New York University (NYU) ein Jahrzehnt damit verbracht, zu erforschen, wie unerwartete Momente unseren sozialen Alltag erweitern und neue berufliche und private Möglichkeiten schaffen können. In diesem Buch schreibt er über die verborgene Kraft, die, mehr als wir glauben, unser Leben formt: der Zufall.

What’s the question every business should be asking itself? According to Jeff Jarvis, it’s What Would Google Do? If you’re not thinking or acting like Google – the fastest-growing company in the history of the world – then you’re not going to survive, let alone prosper, in the Internet age.An indispensable manual for survival and success that asks the most important question today’s leaders, in any industry, can ask themselves: What would Google do?

How much government control is too much control? How much can government spend? How can government influence the level of unemployment? As Bernstein shows how to navigate an ever-changing economic landscape, his timeless insights throughout this audiobook make The Price of Prosperity as vital and important today as when it appeared in an environment fundamentally different from our own.

Vor einigen Jahren begann Ray Dalio beunruhigende politische und wirtschaftliche Entwicklungen zu bemerken, denen er in seiner 50-jährigen Karriere noch nie zuvor begegnet war. Auf der Suche nach einer Erklärung entdeckte er, dass solche Kombinationen von Bedingungen charakteristisch für Perioden des Übergangs sind, in denen sich Reichtum und Macht in einer Weise verschoben, die die Weltordnung neu gestaltete.

First introduced in Anne Marie Knott's influential Harvard Business Review article, RQTM (Research Quotient) is a revolutionary new tool that measures a company's R&D capability - its ability to convert investment in R&D into products and services people want to buy or to reduce the cost of producing these.

Was sind heute die großen Ideen? Historischer Fortschritt basierte fast immer auf utopischen Ideen: Noch vor 100 Jahren hätte niemand für möglich gehalten, dass die Sklaverei abgeschafft oder die Demokratie wirklich existieren würde. Doch wie begegnen wir den Herausforderungen der modernen Arbeitswelt, des Familienlebens, des gesamten globalen Gefüges? Der niederländische Vordenker Rutger Bregman sagt: "Das wahre Problem unserer Zeit ist nicht, dass es uns nicht gut ginge oder dass es uns in Zukunft schlechter gehen könnte.

Unexpected or uncontrollable events occur in every business. By maintaining a constant state of readiness and using quantifiable metrics to measure progress, owners can significantly grow their business value over time. Every business, not to mention business owner, is different and represents a different set of challenges for an advisor. The Advisor’s Guide provides clear breakdowns of different types of owners, their perspectives and hang-ups, their personality types, what to expect as an advisor, and how to guide any owner toward achieving their strategic vision.

With the increasing complexity of modern cloud-based systems, an effective enterprise architecture program is more critical than ever. In this practical book, author Tanu McCabe from Capital One provides proven frameworks and practices to define an effective enterprise architecture strategy—one that will enable software and enterprise architects to create and implement great architecture strategies.

This insightful guide provides a proven process for strategy design combined with The Nine Elements of Organizational Identity framework to align action for success. Whether you're a seasoned executive or a budding entrepreneur, this book is packed with valuable resources.

Empty shelves, queues for petrol and energy shortages: crises more familiar to those who lived through the 1960s and 1970s have now become a reality as global shipping times are squeezed, containers lie unopened at docks and supply shortages push up inflation, increasing the cost of consumer goods from milk to cars to building materials. In Sold Out!, economic forecaster James Rickards (The Road to Ruin, The Death of Money) explains why the shelves are empty, who fractured the supply chain and why shortages will persist.

Leading corporate strategist Mark Faust provides his proven turnaround tactics to grow your business. His game-changing secrets have enabled countless companies to obtain long-term and systematic growth and prosperity....

There are many cryptocurrencies, but none like Dogecoin. What started as a joke by two engineers, has become a never-before-seen social phenomenon. There are many reasons to listen to this book: to educate yourself, to study the future of the world economy, to learn why a digital code has value, and also to understand the Dogecoin amazing value, which many experts predict is going to be the currency of the future.

This book is not just a theoretical exploration of financing concepts; it is a practical roadmap that empowers entrepreneurs and business owners to take control of their financial destinies. The authors have drawn from their extensive expertise and experience to deliver actionable strategies, case studies, and best practices that you can implement in your own business.

For years, executive Martin Fiore has been advising leaders from a wide range of industries about technological trends that are reshaping the world of business, from artificial intelligence and the rise of autonomous systems to human/machine convergence. Now, in Humanity Reimagined, Fiore explores how these trends are disrupting industries, changing the world of work, transforming the economy, and creating both threats and opportunities for leaders at all levels, from entrepreneurs nurturing start-up businesses to C-suite leaders at the world's biggest corporations.

The marketplace and allocation of internal resources are both increasingly competitive. Safety strategies of the future must align with evolving business goals. Will your company's safety efforts keep up with the demands of the future? Emerging trends are becoming increasing visible regarding how safety is viewed, thought of, strategically managed, and how progress is measured. Moreover, the cast of characters, the roles they play, and accountability for responsibilities are evolving, all for the better.

ヤバいくらい簡単なのに、ヤバいくらい成果が出るノウハウが満載！

For over 15 years, New York Times best-selling author Harry S. Dent, Jr. has been uncannily accurate in predicting the financial future. In his three previous works, Dent predicted the financial recession of the early 90s, the economic expansion of the mid-90s, and the financial free-for-all of 1998-2000.