The campaign known for booming vibes has hit a recession.

None of Kamala Harris’ polls in the Rustbelt have increased in October. Some averages are verging on the dreaded 47% line.

That's bad news. Donald Trump is a hard capped 48 % candidate, but you can count on that 48% showing up.

What’s more? Other indicators are pointing the wrong direction for Coconut Hive.

Nate Silver on his Silver Bulletin Substack has the race back to a 50% tossup.

Think what you will about the prediction markets, but Polymarket money is beginning to pile on a Trump victory.

Harris ‘24 knows they need a vibe shift and so they will take a risk! Harris will do an interview with Fox News today. This decision is being hailed as bold and it is.

But it’s also a massive risk.

Kamala has never faced an adversarial interview in her career. Not in California, not in DC, not in her 2019 campaign. This is a big stage to experiment on.

Will it pay off?

We discuss that and so much more…

Karol’s Substack on the Jewish vote in 2024.

JD Durkin LIVE FROM THE NYSE FLOOR on the economy.

COMING FROM PATREON? MAKE SURE YOU MOVE YOUR SUPPORT OVER!

Justin Robert Young and polimath (Matt Shapiro) explore the duality of truth in politics, anxiety within the Democratic Party regarding Kamala Harris's campaign and the implications of Biden's debate performance. The conversation delves into the shifting narratives in political discourse, the challenges facing Harris, and the role of FEMA in disaster response. They also touch on voter sentiment, election predictions, coalition shifts, and the future of AI in politics.

Tom LoBianco wants to tell the FULL story of January 6th from Mike Pence. Justin unveils the four potential scenarios for the 2024 election outcome with Evan Scrimshaw.

Chapters

00:00 The Pence Quest Begins

39:40 Introduction and Election Scenarios

46:26 Positive Republican Outcomes

50:06 Democratic Civil War

55:19 Democratic Optimism

01:01:53 The Case for a Democratic Sweep

01:35:54 The Texas Political Landscape